Dow Stocks To Trade In April

Here is how the month of April breaks down in terms of the odds of a higher market from 4 views:

All Aprils: 62.8%

Election Year +3: 70.6%

Decennial Pattern: 53.8%

Both Election and Decennial Pattern: 66.7%

For this month, the cycle/relative strength concept is applied. First, the Dow Jones 30 stocks are ranked from the best performer to the worst by calculating the expected return in that month. The top stocks were screened as follows. The top best traditional performers in the month were then screened for relative strength by a unique measure that sorts by several relevant time periods. Those that pass both screens are buys for the month. The stocks that are both weak monthly performers and weak relative performers are short sales for the month.

This process has been applied to the Dow Jones 30 stocks by buying the top 5 rated stocks and by shorting the 5 lowest rated stocks. From January of 2020, the top five long stocks have risen by an amount about 45% greater than that of the short sales and 28% more than the DJIA. The short sales were net negative over that time period at -7%.

Here are the top five long recommendations for this month:

VISA

Microsoft
MSFT

McDonalds

American Express

Dow

Here are the top five short recommendations for this month:

Walgreen Boots

Verizon

United Health

Amgen
AMGN

Goldman Sachs